Really? Gosh, we didn’t see that one coming.
I was a Facebook IPO anti-evangelist well before everybody else got on the train, but I’m not trying to gloat here, because I have no right to. All I was doing was pointing out the obvious.
This wasn’t hard math. What in God’s name does Facebook have to offer that’s worth $100 billion? It’s not Google. It’s not Apple. It’s important, and it’s powerful, and it’s probably going to be around for a shockingly long time unless the stock price drops low enough that Google decides to “merge” with it, kind of like you or I would merge with a cool, refreshing soda on a warm summer’s day. But it’s not worth $100 billion. It never was. It probably never will be. And now it appears as though Facebook’s own bankers knew this all along. Shocking, right?
The real problem is what this will mean for Facebook. Already, they’re looking to “monetize” their users, because now they have stockholders to answer to, the kind of people who throw a ridiculous hissy fit because baaaaaaw Mark Zuckerberg wore a hoody! They’re already facing the Wall Street hounds, and it stinks because the demands are not because Facebook has problems as a company (although it does, and quite a few, although none financial), but because the wannabe Patrick Batemans of the world are angry they didn’t become richer in five minutes.
So, really, we wish Facebook luck. It’s going to need it.
(Image via Facebook)



Facebook does have financial issues. As of right now they are trading at 48 times earnings. That’s huge. Their shareholders are justified in expecting an aggressive growth strategy, they paid a premium for a stock that has limited revenue growth potential.
Let’s not forget the absurd shopping sprees they’ve been on for Instagram, etc.
They’ve got billions in cash and no debt. If they were still a private company, they’d have no balance sheet problems.
Instagram also makes a lot of sense: it gives Facebook photo editing tools for its mobile app and it nips a growing social network in the bud.
The issue, as I understand it, is focusing on the mobile app with a billion dollar investment won’t pay off. Where does the ad revenue come from on a mobile app that doesn’t display ads?
So that’s what the loud *Pop* sound was that I heard yesterday. Sorry Zucks you fighting out of your weight class on this.
“unless the stock price drops low enough that Google decides to “merge” with…”
I always imagined that a Google merges with another company much like how the Borg merges with other species.
No, Google is too sensitive and doesn’t want to be evil. You just go to this nice big company lunch, and then you get sleepy at your desk, and then you wake up in a ditch with your stuff in a cardboard box next to you.
Which is nicer than Apple, there you wake up naked with your pubic hair immaculately groomed and a sore rectum.
Your shit should be manicured anyway. What is this, 1992?