
I talked at length earlier this week about how Netflix continues to shoot itself in the foot, and this latest revelation — that it’s in talks to bring the canceled “Terra Nova” to its service — is no exception.
Netflix’s biggest problem right now is not the price increase and an attempt to spin off its DVD-by-Mail service that so catastrophically sunk its stock price last year, Netflix’s problem is that they are going the wrong way. The world is moving away from bundled cable programming and its $100 monthly subscription cost — complete with 75 channels we don’t want or need — and toward services like what we want from Netflix: A la carte options for television and movies. Unfortunately, Netflix wants to be the next HBO. It wants to be another cable channel. It wants to be another option on your cable box.
In fact, Netflix CEO Reed Hastings envisions a future in which Netflix is 40 percent original programming; Hastings isn’t worried about losing the “movies and TV shows that people signed up to Netflix to watch in the first place.” The problem here is two-fold: While many of us are excited that Netflix will be bringing new episodes of “Arrested Development” to its service, we’re less excited about its slate of other original programs (I have not seen “House of Cards” or “Lilyhammer,” but there hasn’t exactly been a lot of buzz around those shows).
If you take cable into account, there actually is plenty of great original programming to fill up our hours already. We don’t want to watch a bunch of new shows on Netflix, we want to watch FX, Showtime, HBO, and AMC shows on Netflix. By moving away from that model, Netflix will necessarily limit our choices again. We want to cut the cable cord. We want one place to get all of our television viewing needs; we don’t want to be forced to keep cable AND subscribe to Netflix so that we can get their new programming as well. A move like this doesn’t make television cheaper, it makes it more expensive: Now, to see everything, we have to subscribe to cable, Netflix, and Hulu (which is rolling out its own original programming, as well), and supplement that with iTunes and YouTube downloads. Netflix was supposed to combine all of that into one service, not add on to our woes.
I understand the strategy. Netflix is at the whim of other networks right now; to succeed, it has to pay out the nose to license shows from HBO, Showtime, FX, and AMC. Maybe that model is not sustainable. But by moving toward original programming, the consumers are at the whim of whoever chooses Netflix programming. I don’t want to pay $10 a month to be at the mercy of a guy who chooses to waste part of my subscription fees to pick up “Terra Nova.” I want to pay $10 to watch anything I might have missed elsewhere. Netflix’s competitive advantage is its selection, but the good options on its streaming service, Instant Netflix, are already dwindling. They shouldn’t be shelling out money for new programming — which then needs to be marketed and advertised — when they could be licensing established programming that has its own word-of-mouth audiences.



You had to wonder what genius said, “Ratings suck, Critics don’t like it, and viewers are bored. It’s the perfect prestige series!”
It did have murder….BY DINOSAUR!
I considered switching to Hulu Plus, but Im not sure thats even a better option. I decreased my subscription to instant Netflix, and its the worst.
Hulu plus gets me Jon Stewart and the ability to watch on my TV. Still debating value prop.
What would it take to convince the Netflix board of directors to fire Reed Hastings? Seriously. This guy is driving Netflix into the ground at every turn. It is time the board exercised some oversight and tell Reed to quit the sh*t or GTFO. Oh, and the stock — which was pushing $300 in July, is not just above $100, and had been in the $60s in December. I don’t think the market is buying into Reed’s new plans….
If I was CEO of Redbox (if that’s a real title, I suspect it may be some Dennis/30 Rock style character running the show), I’d be all over this. Not the TV show aspect because they can’t get in on that game but basically say: get Hulu Plus ($7.99 a month and available through PS3 etc) and rent DVDs from us whenever you feel like it for $1. Bingo. Suck it Netflix.
As it stands, I am so addicted to TV and movies that I have Netflix (2 DVDs at a time), Hulu Plus, get new new releases from Redbox and go to the movies once a week. What a fool!!!
Redbox is owned by Coin Star.
“Netflix CEO Reed Hastings…. saying it was Netflix’s “natural direction” to be bundled in an ordinary cable package someday”
“we were so focused on becoming the streaming company and the global streaming company that we always wanted to be, and always have wanted to be”
Hasting “said that he sees the future of Netflix similarly to how big telephone companies see their futures in wireless, rather than in landline, phones.”
Reed Hastings sure seems to have a lot of different visions for Netflix’s future.
Terra Nova is not all that bad and could be greatly improved by some smarter story-lines.
They sort of blew their load at the end of last (and maybe the only) season but it could be made good enough for NetFlix’s objectives.
You admit Netflix is at the whim of the production companies who may or may not choose to license material to Netflix. So Netflix is taking steps to mitigate this by making original content that can’t be taken away from them. It sucks, but it’s better than sitting around as their licenses dwindle and they have nothing to compensate with.
I watch EVERYTHING either “on-demand” or on my DVR. My wife and I both refuse to watch a show that is on when it is on. Even when we watch “Dancing With The Stars” we put the kids to bed and then begin playing it from the DVR later in the evening (even 20 minutes later) rather than waiting through the commercials.
On-Demand is obviously a major component of the future of TV.
What? A post that doesn’t mention filthy things that this loser would do to some actress’s asshole? I think this guy has been jacked and the hacker is actually a decent human being. Only explanation. This guy is vagina repellant.
Terra Nova on a Netflix budget has potential to be awesomely bad if they run with it. Not BORING bad like it is now.
You know why you haven’t heard much about House of Cards yet? Because it’s barely in production. Nice research.